Australian dollar got a great chance consolidation market outlook
In currencies, the news release, the European system of monetary and commodity currencies have higher initially, but soon will be taking some gains, indicating positive U.S. data, the dollar index has some support role. Today, countries will be published as a series of important data, while Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke also gave a speech, so last night the market was relatively cautious, no unilateral foreign exchange market movements.
Last night, the United States announced on August 21 the first week to claim unemployment benefits. Quite unexpectedly, with an estimated 49 million people compared to the actual number of small, only 47.3 million people. The fundamentals have been sagging for the United States, the message is timely help for the market to restore confidence. After the announcement, U.S. crude oil futures extended gains, LME copper futures jumped 3%; the corresponding U.S. Treasury futures cut gains, while the German bond futures is further decline.
The dollar index yesterday entities caught in the 21 MA and 100 day moving average between the up or down regardless of the technical obstacles are encountered, so now the U.S. dollar index itself, the short-term direction of motion is not clear. USA Today will soon be published important data including quarter GDP and personal consumption data chain, both good and bad data, the dollar index's next trend will have significant impact.
EURUSD: High: 1.2764 Low: 1.2648 close: 1.2717
3 months since the euro fell below the trend line upward, the trend has been relatively weak, despite a rebound in a few days ago, but graphics point of view, down market has now confirmed its premature end. The current 55 day MA and 100 day moving average at 1.272 near the intersection of the point and a certain resistance against the euro if the euro today, to the point and can achieve effective breakthrough, then the space will be opened up. According to wave theory, the euro has completed just before the fall of a complete three-wave trend can continue if the recent euro strength, the market outlook, a new five-wave raise the possibility of rising.
GBPUSD: High: 1.5597 Low: 1.5464 close: 1.5529
Recent British fundamentals rather plain pound lack of key economic data guidelines will be released this afternoon, the British GDP data could give the market some new momentum. Since this month, and the performance of the UK data related to the basic fundamentals are better than expected, indicating the current economic situation in Britain is very healthy. If the GDP data released this afternoon is still better than expected, then, is bound to have support on the pounds. Technically, however, by the 21 pound average of repression, stagnating at 1.56 below, current data on the pounds even if favorable fundamentals, but also needs to re-station £ 1.56 to re-confirm their strength.
USDCAD: High: 1.0602 Low: 1.0518 close: 1.0572
Improvement of risk aversion, on the Canadian dollar as a commodity currency is undoubtedly a major catalyst. Canadian dollar yesterday following the other non-dollar currencies have strengthened, but the relatively limited range. Present technical point of view, 1.045, 50% retracement on the role of the Canadian dollar has some support, so the rising Canadian dollar relatively limited space. Weekend this month, data released by Canada's GDP, according to the data is good or bad different, then the movement will take on the Canadian dollar may be different; before, shocks to adjust the Canadian dollar will be the main campaign mode.
USDJPY: High: 84.90 Low: 84.31 close: 84.47
U.S. dollar rebounded against the yen, but the first line of resistance at 85. Today, Japanese government officials will meet together on a variety of economic problems facing Japan to negotiate, including the rapid yen gains. Japan ready to intervene in currency markets to act, seems to have triggered opposition from the United States and other countries, which also eliminates the worry about the Japanese government. If this meeting had a substantive introduction of interventions, the yen is expected there will be considerable volatility. But the direction is uncertain. After opening next week, the yen's movements can be truly stable.
AUDUSD: High: 0.8916 Low: 0.8829 close: 0.8859
Australian dollar yesterday after repeated contention, once again closing out the final shape of the satellite lines. Compared with 25 Australian a little walk up, but still tangled in the key support level near .885. Australian dollar rebound has been determined does not appear, on its face a lot of pressure selling, and the Australian election result is still full of uncertainty, which formed a drag on the rising Australian dollar. Next Australian dollar tends to be more consolidation trend.
Gold: High: 1244.00 Low: 1233.85 closing price: 1234.05
By the unexpected positive U.S. jobs data, gold fell from a high of 1,244 U.S. dollars, devoured all the gains yesterday. But the market's confidence in gold has not changed fundamentally, gold is not more than 10 U.S. dollars yesterday's volatility, technical point of view has not constitute a reversal pattern, is expected to rise still the main market outlook. If the United States is no longer the emergence of new improved fundamentals, gold will appear test the possibility of record high 1265 U.S. dollars.
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