Concern that the United States or the rebound into the focus of the trend reversal
Last week the U.S. slowdown may drag on economic recovery of fears the global economic recovery, the most important factors influencing the market, despite the euro-zone data is still rosy, Dan Touzizhereng Hui lacks the strength to worry about the economy, Ji Shi Guan Yuan have also demonstrated the euro area a more cautious attitude. Graphically, the dollar index is now close to 83 integer mark, the top 83 this week, if a firm, then the trend will be more bright market outlook, if this turned down, it indicates only a rebound last week, only to rebound, investors may re-exploration 80 resistance will greatly increase.
Friday night's U.S. July consumer price index for the previous month increased by 0.3%, 0.2% higher than the expected termination of the previous three consecutive months of negative, and then announced in August the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index 69.6 , better than expected 69.3. Although the data for the recent gloom of the U.S. economy is expected to add a little light-colored, but the market preference for high-risk assets, did not rebound, the non-US currencies experienced some hesitation, choose continues to plumb. U.S. dollar index closed higher again last week the dollar index has become the best week in two years.
Crude oil futures prices, touched since May under the channel has gained the edge of 75 dollars today in the Department's performance is more important. Dow Jones index fell slightly to close at 10,300 points in the vicinity.
Euro: 1.2750 the highest closing price of the lowest 1.2747 1.2906
The euro fell again Friday, smashing through the trend from 6 months up 38.2% retracement of the 100 day moving average is also where 1.2781, from the 1.27 support line is located one step. Although the Friday second-quarter Eurozone GDP growth better than expected, but failed to boost market confidence, that the market psychology has changed, the euro continued to face downward pressure on market outlook. The euro is expected to drop to at least reach the round of 50% retracement, but also where the 55 day moving average line 1.26. 1.27, as where the clouds and the rising trend line support, will have some hysteresis effect.
Sterling: the highest closing price of 1.5596 the lowest price 1.5680 1.5568
Bank of England last week the central bank in August inflation report, members believe that prospects for the next two years the British economy was "very uncertain" and do a good job of tightening and relaxing the policy of both hands to prepare this expression of attitude to strengthen the market for the UK long-term maintenance of the central bank's benchmark rate currently 0.5% expected, to some extent by the British against the previous data accumulated robust optimism. Days the figure, Friday pound since June in touch since early rebound after rising trend line, the bottom line of resistance before there is an important support for conversion from 155 line support, this week's performance is more important, if Sterling fell below the support line, it means that sterling round up is over.
USDJPY: closing price of 86.19 the highest price lowest price 85.54 86.39
There have been reports this week, Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan, said central bank president, and Shirakawa will meet tomorrow to discuss the yen exchange rate, the market has given some attention, has suspended the practice of pushing up the yen. But the U.S. dollar and the yen continues to narrow spreads, risk sentiment, the yen gained momentum remains. While the market for the Japanese government and central bank intervention in currency markets challenge the ability, in fact, the measures they can take little limited. Yen market outlook is expected to remain strong, investors can buy yen at the 86.5-87 range, sold in 85 in the vicinity, stop bits can be located in the vicinity of 87.5.
Australian dollar: the highest closing price of 0.9035 the lowest 0.8920 0.8928
As a high-risk Australian currency risk sentiment in the market, and because the second half of China's economic growth slowing and oil prices expected to hit the Australian dollar to make more pessimistic market outlook. Technical graphics point of view, the Australian dollar touched a long-term suppression line up early, the pressure also has a callback. Below the current Australian dollar has been rising since July 38.2% retracement of the initial shock is also a high point and the 100 day MA of 0.8867 support, the trend is more struggle, the Australian dollar is expected to repeatedly test the area, while medium-term objectives in higher channel near the lower edge of 0.87.
Gold: the highest closing price of 1217.35 1213.55 1210.55 Lowest
Gold rose slightly Friday night, but not break the resistance level of 1220 U.S. dollars. Gold recently repeated shocks, the lack of trend, investors are profitable, but the support and resistance is still more obvious, above and below 1990 U.S. dollars 1220 U.S. dollars has become more technical sense, strong risk appetite investors can operate in this range , or wait for gold to break above 1220 U.S. dollars after the chase, but long-held preference for suitable investors Zeyi wait and see, the current gold price is still high, is not a good buying opportunity (责任编辑：admin) |
