U.S. employment data is not ideal rapid decline in the U.S. that
Crude oil prices were weak U.S. economic data, as well as European and American stock markets all fell, dragged down again by the 82 U.S. dollars back to the top 80 U.S. dollars / barrel in the vicinity, now steady at 80.8 U.S. dollars / barrel, investors are still concerned about the world crude oil price trend in the recovery of the economy as a whole situation.
Friday night once the dollar index fell to 80.1 in the vicinity quickly and then rebounded slightly steady at 80.4 in the vicinity now, mainly by the Friday release of the July non-farm employment data of. The data showed the U.S. July non-farm employment fell by 13.1 million people, significantly lower than expected reduction of 6.5 million people; and June revised data for the reduction of 22.1 million, worse than the previous month to 12.5 million; Also in July The unemployment rate was 9.5%, slightly better than expected 9.6%. As announced this week three ADP private employment data is better, but Thursday announced the number of jobless claims poor, so the market is more concerned about Friday's payrolls data heavy. The disappointing data also suppressed the market for rapid recovery of vision of the U.S. economy, even for the further implementation of the quantitative easing Fed policy has also been speculation heating up, leading to a rapid decline in the U.S. means. Graphics from a technical point of view, the dollar index in recent months has remained weak trend of the time, yet there are signs of reversal, the dollar index is expected to rise in the previous 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 79.6 in the vicinity may be able to get must support.
EUR / USD: High: 1.3333 Low: 1.3155 close: 1.3282
Announced yesterday a number of euro-zone economic data, the most important of which should be in Germany in June industrial production data, this data is displayed as the chain fell 0.6%, lower than the estimated growth of 0.7%, news came out, the euro also had a wheel fell slightly. But with sentiment in the U.S. payrolls data later gathered again, a wave of euro rose about 160 points, currently held steady in the near 1.3280. German Ministry of Economic Affairs said yesterday, although the data on the relative industrial Shengchan the game but the day before the order Xingshigaishan Gongbu has Yiwei Zhao But industry can continue in the coming months to promote the economic recovery process, which the United States continued weak economic conditions produced a sharp contrast. In the medium term, the euro had been successfully broken through the downward trend since the end of last year's Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of 1.3120 to block, the next medium-term resistance may be 50% retracement to occur near 1.35, while the support bit is located near a half months where upward trend in the vicinity of 1.32.
GBP / USD: High: 1.6002 Low: 1.5837 close: 1.5945
Britain yesterday announced in June manufacturing and industrial production data, which the chain growth of manufacturing output weaker than expected growth of 0.3% 0.4%, while industrial production, decreased by 0.5% lower than the 0.2% growth forecast this message baked Sterling has tried to suppress production after nearly 80 points decline. However, as disappointing U.S. employment data released after the market for non-US currencies such as sterling passion heat up again once sterling also rose 160 points to 1000 points mark below 1.6. From a fundamental view of the situation, though slightly worse than yesterday's industrial data previously forecast, but the British in July's PPI data performance is not pessimistic, while the Bank of England interest rate decision this week after the statement also holds some of Britain's economic prospects optimistic compared to the whole status of the weak U.S. economy, the pound by the market significantly higher likelihood of investor favor. Graphics from a technical point of view, sterling recent days in the 1.58-1.60 range oscillation, which is both rapid increases after a certain rest, is the face of thousands of point 1.6 the necessary adjustment process integer bits, while from week chart run face £ The last trace of resistance brought cloud. However, the medium term, there has yet to reverse the decline of £ signs of consolidation get a breakthrough soon, probably will run until January of this year's high of 1.65 when the bottom block will be met, while support is below the current turmoil in the range around the lower edge of 1.58.
Dollar / yen: Up: 86.22 Minimum: 85 close: 85.49
With the yen yesterday, to flee the market for dollar assets arising from the wave of rose, briefly touching the lowest 85 bit integers, but subsequently had a margin of nearly half of the callback, the current returned to near the level of 85.5. Japan's recent and not too many important economic data release, while the Japanese yen after rising more for economic recovery in the U.S. state of their own weak cause. In such cases, the fundamentals, the yen is now very close to the key psychological barrier of 85, and 15-year high after 84.69, the future of more substantial downside risk is gradually being enhanced. While some Japanese officials recently said the central bank is not likely to directly interfere with Hui Yen Hui Lv, Dan There was also repeatedly expressed from the government's Shengyin Guodushengzhi pair of Japanese yen's negative Ying Xiang Jing Ji. Affected the Bank of Japan intervention in future market potential still exists, it is recommended investors to focus this part of the risk, do not over-bullish yen.
USD / CAD: Maximum: 1.0306 Low: 1.0141 close: 1.0269
Canada yesterday announced the unemployment rate data, the data show that the July employment decrease of 0.93 million, significantly worse than expected 1.5 million people, while the unemployment rate has reached 8%, higher than expected 7.9%. Data is due to lead the Canadian dollar after a wave of more than 80 points decline. Although the weak U.S. data released Canadian dollar has produced a slightly higher, but quickly fell 100 points to regain the decline again. Prior to the performance of the Canadian dollar over time is more beautiful, once touched 1.01 integer bit, but the Canadian dollar soared to a very important factor that had a good performance in their jobs. Now that the fundamental factors supporting the rise down there, but as with the United States, Canada, the closest major economies are also vulnerable to natural weak U.S. economy, bring the drag, this view of the future trend of the Canadian dollar also not very optimistic . Graphics from a technical point of view, the U.S. dollar against the Canadian dollar is now at 1.0270 around the same time, the surface layer in the day Venus appeared in the standard form, bold friends can choose the short Canadian dollar, target position for the time being in May to see the support of the Canadian dollar since located near 1.05.
AUD / USD: High: 0.9221 Low: 0.9133 close: 0.9180
Australian dollar yesterday unconventional ups and downs, nearly 80 points in the context of repeated shocks, near the end steady at 0.9180. Australian data yesterday also driven by weakness in the U.S. arising from rising, but soon gave up in one hour almost all the increase, which reflects the market's overall sentiment lies: the weak U.S. economy, the recovery in other countries Contrast the status quo, thus constitute a non-US currency some support, but such as the Australian currency's own high-risk goods, after Australia's announcement of the CPI, PPI and other data are still not optimistic about the result in the weakening of the Australian interest rate expectations, causing the market for Aussie's favor is not stable enough. It also laid the Australian dollar further and may lead to future large shocks in the trend. In addition, from a technical graphics, we also can see that the Australian dollar has been in the top of 0.9150 from the previous high of 0.9380 on several occasions has also been very close, even if the Australian market outlook continues to rise, or a relatively small space, with Instead the size of shocks but the Australian may be increased, it is proposed that investors should not overly bullish Australian dollar future trend, the opposite may have risen further after his plane trying to choose their short, stop bits can be located in this prerequisite to a high of around 0.94.
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