Bank of China Beijing Branch Health Assessment
Slowdown in U.S. economic recovery under the circumstances, the strong euro-zone data surprise. Graphically, the rebound in the dollar index hit a 100-day delay after the fall downstream channel integrity, investors may once again test the March high of 82, once the breakthrough will open further down the range, the first goal of 81.50, the second goal in the important support 80.
Last night released the first time the United States on July 17 the number of unemployed was 46.4 million, 45 million worse than expected, then released in June existing home sales copy number was 5.37 million units, while better than expected 510 million units, but the relative 5.12% last month, the data still fall. Although the data showed the U.S. economy has remained, but by yesterday afternoon, the euro zone economic data and a good night the strong performance of large U.S. companies incentives, market sentiment is more optimistic about the European Department of the currency, commodity currencies and gold are up there.
In the Gulf of Mexico crude oil production optimism and driven by the storm threat, crude oil futures prices rose to above 79 U.S. dollars, beyond the June high, given the strong support of the Canadian dollar and Australian dollar. By 3M, UPS, Caterpillar and other companies a good forecast of economic weather vanes, driven the Dow Jones index closed at 10,322.30 points, up 1.99%.
Euro / dollar: the highest closing price of 1.2929 the lowest 1.2735 1.2884
Yesterday, the euro zone in July announced an integrated purchasing managers index was 56.7. Better than expected 55.5, positive economic data, investors on concerns the eurozone economy lower, the euro continued to maintain a good popularity, reversing the previous two days of declines. Graphically, the euro's callback in the July 9 near the high point of 1.2720, support for holding an overall upward trend. Banking today announced the upcoming stress test results, Europe and the International Monetary Fund officials were expected to give a good market by the euro's rise have been digested, but still questioned the reliability of the test, if the market outlook The results showed that the banking industry in good condition, the euro can gain some support, to help the impact of 1.3 of the 1000-point mark, if it fail again, then the market will question the kinetic energy of the rising euro, the euro is facing greater pressure callback.
GBP / USD: closing price of 1.5254 the highest price lowest price 1.5147 1.5296
UK economic data released yesterday afternoon, the more good, in June retail sales data for last month increased 0.7%, 0.5% better than expected, supporting the sterling, but the importance of data is limited, investors will be more concerned about Britain today announced preliminary Q2 GDP, the market is expected to increase 1.1% in the data, while a quarter of the data is -0.2%, if realized, would show that Britain's economic recovery well, has symbolic significance, pound may be increased by the new momentum, is expected to exceed the recent resistance 1.55, and if less than expected, before the pound may be taking gains, challenges recent support for the 21 day 1.5150.
USD / CAD: the highest closing price of 1.0503 the lowest 1.0351 1.0378
USDCAD fell sharply last night, further support has been since the April run, finishing the triangle zone in the near future facing the possibility of a breakthrough, should now focus on the trend observed in 1.03 situations that, once a breakthrough will have a strong technical sense The first run target in the vicinity of 1.01. Tonight will be released in Canada in June consumer price index, expected on a monthly flat, an increase of 1.0%, the relative decline last month, the data were to reflect the Canadian economy is being dragged down by the United States, the data may have an impact on the market.
AUD / USD: 0.8931 the highest closing price of the lowest 0.8735 0.8953
Australian adventure mood last night, inspired by the recent breakthroughs in high volatility 0.8871, maximum 0.8953 hit, because 0.8871 is the dollar in April to May total fell 61.8% retracement level of this breakthrough so important in the technical sense, if today we can close above that level, the Australian dollar will be set medium-term bullish trend, target at 0.94 4-month highs. Australian short term top is facing 200 days are the block, if blocked callback, will provide another opportunity for admission, aggressive investors may also break after the chase were the first target in the three waves of the target bit is running 100% 0.91. As the Australian dollar rise in oil prices with the needs of investors concerned about the price of oil needs to break through 80 U.S. dollars the effectiveness of the resistance barrier.
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