Euro medium-term maintenance of the lack of upward momentum bearish view
Doubts about the market demand, oil prices rose slightly last night, but not out of range of recent shocks. U.S. stocks continue to reflect the Fed's assessment of the economic recovery, the Dow Jones index ended down 1.41 percent.
Last night the United States announced on June 19 when the jobless claims number was 45.7 million, slightly lower than the estimated 46 million people, in May durable goods orders fell 1.1%, better than expected 1.4% decline, as the actual difference between data and expected little impact on the market smaller. Overall, the currency was mixed yesterday, the market is still in a different way interpret the Fed's interest-rate meeting statement, market sentiment cautious. The dollar index in May to June up 50% retracement of the trend is close to competing again, into a see-saw, there is no clear direction, above resistance at 86.5, below the key support at 61.8% retracement of the previous low of 85 in the vicinity.
Euro / dollar: the highest closing price 1.2387 lowest 1.2259 1.2328
Euro slight concussion last night, the Greek rising cost of credit default swaps do not have a major impact on the currency markets. Greek security breach costs rising bond investors worried about economic recovery reflected, not because of deterioration in the euro zone sovereign debt crisis. Graphic point of view, after early rise, the euro gained further impetus to the lack of market transactions more light. Euro short-term direction is not clear, 21-day moving average support at 1.22, above resistance at 1.25. Careful look at long-term maintenance of air.
GBP / USD: closing price of 1.4921 the highest price lowest price 1.4913 1.5010
Sterling finished lower yesterday, briefly touching above the 1.5 mark, followed by steady high. Chancellor of the Exchequer announced that the latest fiscal austerity plan and unexpected central bank meeting on interest rates support the recent divergence of the news is the main driving force sterling. However, as 1.5-point level as the pre-fall 1000 61.8% retracement of the 100-day MA, is a watershed in the recent strength of sterling has important technical sense, the market still was determined to push the pound rose to the top of the level of . British crosses from the European view, crosses the exchange rate hit early in 2007 to 08 at the end of the 50% retracement after rising slightly rebounded when the next break will provide the impetus pound against the dollar, the pound will open the space up to 1.55.
USD / CAD: closing price 1.0430 lowest price highest price 1.0469 1.0373
Canadian dollar fell after 4 consecutive days, in May to June rose 61.8% retracement of 1.047 near to the support, here is the Canadian dollar fell against the dollar on the edge of channels. Canadian dollar now faced with the choice, if the U.S. dollar against the Canadian dollar breakthrough 1.047, while no significant resistance above, will open the run to early June high of 1.07 in the upstream space.
AUD / USD: closing price of 0.8665 the highest price lowest price 0.8639 0.8771
Australian dollar up once during the day, but then reversed course. Graphically, down from 21, since the channel was well maintained, the Australian in the early fall below the 50% retracement of 0.8730 to confirm after the back step, MACD indicators issued a put signal, less Aussie optimistic, there are pre-test a low rebound high of 0.855 level possible. As Australia yesterday to elect a new prime minister, faced with uncertainty, concerns about slowing global economic recovery has also played against Australian dollar, Australian dollar is expected to be relatively weak market outlook.
USD / JPY: the highest closing price 89.98 89.53 Lowest 89.21
Concerns about the global economic recovery stimulus stronger yen, the dollar exchange rate against the yen hit 89 last night, support, and this is where the recent run of goal position. As the strong support, less likely to fall below the area, while hedging demand continues to support the yen, so the market outlook, the yen is expected to be out of the wave of market volatility.
Gold: the highest closing price of 1247.85 1244.05 1227.75 Lowest
Gold recently hit again last night up a rebound after the lower edge of channel, but the rebound is more sluggish, investors have once again test support for the possibility of short-term support in 1230 U.S. dollars, but below the long-term trend line support in 1220 U.S. dollars and the cloud on the edge of 1,200 dollars. The market close but investors should not be catching, and could be waiting for a callback to 1220 U.S. dollars gold held steady after the call, target in 1250 U.S. dollars, and set the stop loss below 1200 U.S. dollars.
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